Sept. 15, 2026

Red Tide, Decoded: Why It Isn't Random, and How to Track It

Red Tide, Decoded: Why It Isn't Random, and How to Track It

No smell. No warning. Just a beach full of people who start coughing at the same time, grab their towels, and leave. That's red tide, and it feels completely random until you know what's actually happening in the water.

Karenia brevis, the algae behind it, produces a toxin called brevetoxin that rides the wind and waves into the air along the shoreline, which is why people can start coughing with no visible sign anything's wrong. The 2017 to 2019 Southwest and Southeast Florida bloom cost the region an estimated $2.7 billion, mostly in tourism losses, and it wasn't a freak event. Follow the water back far enough and it traces to nitrogen and phosphorus flowing out of the Kissimmee River basin, through Lake Okeechobee, and down the Caloosahatchee River into the Gulf, fueling the same algae that's always been there into a much bigger, longer bloom.

Here's the turn: this is trackable. Mote Marine Laboratory's Beach Conditions Reporting System lets anyone on the Gulf Coast check named beaches for red tide conditions before they ever leave the house, the same way you'd check a weather forecast. This episode also connects back to the nutrient-pollution mechanism from the "nature's kidneys" episode with Adam Langley, and lands on one thing you can actually do this season.

Takeaways:

  • Red tide is caused by Karenia brevis, an algae that produces brevetoxin, a toxin that becomes airborne in sea spray and can cause coughing and respiratory irritation, worse for people with asthma but capable of affecting anyone near the water.
  • The 2017–2019 Southwest and Southeast Florida red tide bloom cost the region an estimated $2.7 billion, mostly in tourism-dependent business losses.
  • Red tide blooms are naturally occurring, but excess nitrogen and phosphorus flowing from the Kissimmee Basin through Lake Okeechobee and down the Caloosahatchee River make them bigger, longer, and more frequent.
  • A legally mandated program has cut phosphorus leaving Everglades-area farmland by roughly 55 percent long-term, against a 25 percent legal minimum, but the broader system still isn't meeting the water quality standard the Gulf and estuaries need.
  • Mote Marine Laboratory's free Beach Conditions Reporting System lets Gulf Coast beachgoers check red tide conditions beach by beach before they go.

Gulf Of Mexico Red Tide Tracker: https://coastalscience.noaa.gov/science-areas/habs/hab-forecasts/gulf-coast/

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Transcript
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Today we're gonna be talking about red
tide.

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And I know it's it's a tough battle.

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You may not know what red tide is.

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You've probably heard a lot of the things,

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but I'm just gonna get a a bit of a
summary from someone I spoke to recently.

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Actually it was Monday's episode with Adam
Langley.

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He said one time he was on the beach and
him and his wife are on the beach,

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and all of a sudden, you know,

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without any warning, people were just
starting to like,

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you know, you didn't really smell
anything,

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but suddenly people started to cough
around them.

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And people like grabbing their towels and
just kind of leaving the area.

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And and they didn't really know what it
was at the time.

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They just thought, hey, like if
everybody's coughing,

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it's not just one particular individual,

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it's it's a a number of different
individuals.

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And then more and more people are starting
to cough.

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It's not necessarily that they have
asthma.

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Probably people who have asthma probably
feel it a little bit more,

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obviously, than others. But then you start
to cough you're like,

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something's not right. Like it doesn't
smell of anything,

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but there's something that's affecting my
breathing,

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and I'm not gonna stay in this area.

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So I'm gonna leave the beach. Beautiful
day on the beach.

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I'm gonna leave it and I'm gonna get out
of there,

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maybe call the authorities, be like
something is going on.

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That's red tide. And a lot of times it's
not it's not random.

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It can be trackable. And there's actually
a free tool that you can tell that

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can tell you before it even happens,

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and before you even leave the house.

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So you don't have to go through that and
you don't have to worry about going

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on the beach when there's a red tide.

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We're gonna talk all about what a red tide
is,

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why you should know about it, and that the
fact is that people are doing

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a lot of work to stop it from happening.

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And there is a way to stop it from
happening more often.

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than it has and I think that's the that's
the important part of

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of where we're talking about here.

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Because when we hear red tide or what what
scientists called harmful algal blooms

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or habs, we see this happening on a
regular basis,

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Because there is a specific algae called
carinia brevis,

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and it blooms in warm coastal waters and
produces a toxin known as brevitoxin,

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which is the toxin that you're pro like
that people are probably

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Smelling in the air. You know,

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the wind and the waves, they carry that
toxin into the air,

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which is why you start coughing on the
beach with no visible sign that that
really

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there's anything wrong, other than people
coughing on the beach when nobody should

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be, Because that's not a normal thing that
happens.

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Now it's worse for people with asthma or
any kind of respiratory conditions,

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but it can affect anyone standing close
enough to the water or even in the water,

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Now, in 2018 to 2019, the numbers like
were huge.

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And the losses were huge. They lost $2.7
billion over

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a year of disruption, To it, and and that
is not something that became like

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a rare occurrence like it normally did,

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but it's it's something that's really,

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really bad. why is this happening more
often than not?

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Carina Brevis, this this algae is
naturally occurring in the Gulf of Mexico

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in the Atlantic.

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And in between 2017 and 2019, the
southwest and southeast parts of Florida
were

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hit pretty much the worst they've ever
been hit before.

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Now, there have to be specific conditions
for Karina Brevis

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to really become overpopulated,

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which which makes the red tide.

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You'll see start to see in the water a
little bit of a reddish tint color,

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like a tan color or a rust color in the
water.

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But for sometimes it's really difficult to
tell until it's too late.

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Or until you start to feel that.

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Now, here's the thing. There needs to be
like the right amount of wind

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to bring the like a lot of Karina brevis
together to create the red tide.

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There needs to be heat in the water to I
guess be hospitable

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to the Karina brevist because it needs
heat.

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Heat is is helpful. But then it needs
something else which can be controlled.

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And we talked about it yesterday's episode
and we talked about it the day before.

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It's all about nutrients. There's specific
nutrients that when fed to phytoplankton,

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which is what these carina brevis are,

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they will bloom like crazy. And if you get
the right amount of mix of

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all three C sub C temperature,

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wind that brings them all together,

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and then feed them nutrients, you get a
massive red tide.

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If that happens over and over and over
again,

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so we we know we've seen high
temperatures.

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We know the winds are kind of gathering a
little bit.

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And we know nutrients in Florida over the
past five years,

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maybe more, probably eight to ten years,

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have been flowing into the river systems a
lot more.

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Right. So I want to just kind of give you
a picture of essentially what's happening,

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So the bloom has always been there,

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but it's the freshwater discharges that
come down from the Casalahache River.

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In Florida, carrying like decades of
nitrogen phosphorus from

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the Kissimmee Basin and Lake Okeechobee.

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I always say Okechibi, but it's
Okeechobee.

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And that's what we know happens.

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So all that nitrogen phosphorus,

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which are the nutrients that help animal
or plants' cells grow,

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like these plankton, these these
phytoplankton,

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So you follow from Lake Okeechobee,

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And you know that.

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It there's nutrients in there because
there's a lot of industry along that area,

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And that industry, even below it and above
it,

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dumps their waste, like we talked a little
bit yesterday.

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And for a while, that waste had to meet a
certain number.

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And that number has now changed to best
practices.

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So instead of hitting a certain,

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like you have to be below a certain number
in nitrogen,

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so ammonia, nitrate, nitrite.

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And phosphorus, now you can pretty much
put it whatever you want and say,

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hey, we're following best practices.

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We know companies, and there's a lot of
sugar companies that like

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big sugars known in Florida. There's a lot
of sugar companies out there,

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and we know that they're very important to
Florida's economy,

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but they will try and get away with pretty
much anything.

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Right. And so the fact is,

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is that once the state said, hey,

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best manager practices is great,

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you know, the

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Difference in the phosphorus amounts,

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where before when there was regulation,

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they were at about 25, Legal minimum.

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And they grew to about 55%. So that's
there's a there's a difference there,

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There's a a huge difference in the
numbers.

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So phosphorus grew ~ in availability,

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nitrogen grew in availability.

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And then what happens is because Lake
Okeechobee is dammed,

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once the spring rains come, it will
eventually fill up.

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And managers, water water managers,

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have to release this water that is full of
excess phosphorus

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and ex excess nitrogen. So then it'll grow
down the Kissmi Basin

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and it'll it'll flow down the Kalo Sachi
River and it'll go into the Gulf

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of Mexico or the Atlantic.

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Right, so these are the southwest Gulf of
Mexico,

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Southeast Atlantic areas. And then what
happens as those nutrients feed those
Carina

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bevis, like these red tide forming plant
plant cells,

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you get a red tide.

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the fact is that because the nitrogen and
phosphorus,

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aren't meeting what was met before,

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we are getting more red tides because
there's increased cease temperature

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and the winds are changing a lot more and
they're a lot stronger.

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So they bring this phytoplankton in,

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which is naturally occurring. They just
bring them into groups where

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you get to that, And I think this is where
I keep telling people that

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we can control.

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The amount of times we get red tide by
controlling what feeds them.

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We can't necessarily control sea
temperature at this point unless

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we reduce our carbon and greenhouse gas
output,

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which is obviously a lot harder than ever.

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But nitrogen can be controlled locally or
by state.

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That can be controlled. I've worked in
environmental consulting before.

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I worked in with a wastewater company
where we

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looked, we would do measurements to make
sure that they're following

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the regulations. And it would be,

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you know, provincial or state and federal
that would be looking at these

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and they would be reviewing them to make
sure they're under.

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And if they go above, you know,

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they the government works with them to
say,

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hey, you need to keep this down because
they had to follow the law.

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That was part of the regulation.

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So I think that the thing is here where
everybody's like,

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well, we get more red tide. Like we're
seeing,

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you know, the coast of Florida at a
certain times like disgusting

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and there's there's dead animals
everywhere and sometimes sea turtles

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and

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And manatees and dolphins and and fish
everywhere.

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They're just dead. It's disgusting.

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It's gross. I'm never, I don't want to go
there.

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How we can't even control this.

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We can control it. That's the funny thing.

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It's not a random thing, It's not a
mystery that strikes without a pattern.

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Like we know what's happening.

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We know how to stop it. We know how to
starve this animal from growing

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to a point where it becomes a red tide.

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And I think that's the big turn in this
story.

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That's the thing that.

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can help us bring the red tide anxiety
down a little bit.

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I know it helps me because I know what
needs to be done.

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Right. I know that if we start to get
governments on point and say,

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hey, we need to protect our coastlines,

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our water quality is going to crap because
we haven't been holding companies

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and industries who who put out this stuff.

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And it's not necessarily like it's bad
stuff.

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Like they provide products that we use.

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So it's it's hard to say that we're
against them.

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I don't want to vilify them, but we need
to make sure that they their point sources

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that come out have to fall with it below a
number.

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And that's where these wastewater
engineers kind of do all this modeling

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to make sure that if everybody stays
within a certain range,

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then our system will be fine. That's all
it takes.

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It's money, yes. It's money worth
spending,

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I guarantee you. I think that's where.

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A lot of people just don't realize that
it's this is what happens.

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this is how we change. And I think if you
go back to yesterday,

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where the red tide is like the the
dramatic visible symptom of that same
excess

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nitrogen story that we talked about what I
talked about,

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how coastal environments, coastal habitats
like mangroves,

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marshes are the are nature's kidneys.

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Healthy coastal wetlands will help filter
nitrogen out of the water.

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But like just to go back to it,

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the big sugar wanted to remove some
Everglades to put in a new plant.

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The Everglades are that coastal habitat
that removes the excess nitrogen.

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So instead of like emptying right into the
Everglades,

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they empty out into a river system that
goes right into the Gulf.

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Makes no sense. And so there's ways that
we can actually figure out

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how to change our water quality.

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Now, in the meantime, there is a bloom
tracker.

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There is a red tide bloom tracker.

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So if you are in Florida or you are in an
area where you want to go to the beach,

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you want to make sure you don't have to be
subjected to that.

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Maybe you have some asthma problems or
respiratory problems,

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or you just don't want to go there when
it's going be nasty.

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There is a beach conditions reporting
system that,

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People have if you're on the Gulf Coast.

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And so there are ways you can find out.

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You can just track this. You can look it
up.

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I'll try and look it and put a the link in
the show notes that you can find.

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But for now, you can look at that.

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But really, like this is where we elect
government officials that will promise

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to make sure they hold industry
accountable to ensure that we are

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not putting excess nitrogen in the water.

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that's pretty much what it is.

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We have the

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knowledge.

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We have the system to put in place.

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We have the regulation. It's just a matter
of keeping industries

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to that regulation and not giving them
what they want in terms of they don't have

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to spend extra money on making sure that
they can put that into place

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and they less headache for them.

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But no, ~ sorry, it's a headache for you,

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but it's life to us. That's really what it
comes down to,

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Businesses do not run the world.

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They think they want to, they think they
can,

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but it really is the people. We are the
people.

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We need to hold them accountable through
government.

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Government needs to hold accountable.

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Elect the people who hold them
accountable.

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That's what we need to do. That's my
that's that's my my call to action

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for you today. ~ and especially in the US
where Florida is located,

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there's a important elections coming up.

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This is where you make those elections
count.

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I know there's like a bigger picture here
for a lot of people from

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a federal perspective, but think about
locally of what's happening to

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you and make sure that those ~ state,

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whether they're Senate.

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Or Congress people, they are looking out
for what's local for you and not what's,

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you know, federally always for the the the
overall country that may not

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be in your interest, Whether you're on one
side or the other,

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this is still nature. This is still where
you live.

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You want to make sure ~ you are living in
a healthy coastal area so

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you can enjoy the coast because that's
where you want to live,

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And that's the beauty about living in
places like Florida.

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So, anyway, that's it for the episode
today.

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I would love to hear your comments.

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If you're watching this on YouTube.

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Let me know in the comments below if
you're watching this or listening to this,

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00:13:15,016 --> 00:13:19,408
sorry, on Spotify or Apple or your
favorite podcast app.

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Spotify, you can leave a comment,

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which I love. So please leave a comment.

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Love to hear what you think. Or if you
have a question,

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love to hear your thoughts. but other than
that,

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you can hit me up on my socials,

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links in the show notes. Thank you so much
for joining me on today's episode

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of the How to Protect the Ocean podcast.

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Have a great day. We'll talk to you next
time and happy conservation.