The Blob Hit California's Kelp. Protected Kelp Came Back Faster.
In 2014, just two years after California finished its statewide network of marine protected areas, a marine heatwave known as The Blob settled over the Pacific coast and stayed for two years. Kelp forests collapsed up and down the state, and sea star wasting disease wiped out sea stars on a scale few scientists had seen. For a network built partly to protect kelp habitat, it was the worst possible first test.
Andrew Lewin walks through what the state learned when it checked. California's first Decadal Management Review pulled together long-term monitoring across kelp forests, rocky reefs, the intertidal, sandy beaches, and more, producing seven technical reports plus an independent synthesis from the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis so the state wasn't grading its own work. A UCLA-led study in the Journal of Applied Ecology then used nearly four decades of satellite imagery to show that kelp inside MPAs recovered better after the heatwave than similar unprotected coastline, most clearly in Southern California.
The reason comes down to predators. Inside MPAs, California sheephead and spiny lobster were protected from fishing and kept urchins in check, so recovering kelp beds weren't mowed down into urchin barrens. Andrew covers the 2023 recommendations that came out of the review, how the Ocean Protection Council is folding them into California's 30x30 commitment, and why he'd like to see these assessments happen every five years instead of every ten. Thursday, the series turns to who gets heard in what happens next.
Takeaways:
- The 2014 to 2016 marine heatwave (The Blob) and El Niño hit two years after California completed its MPA network, collapsing kelp forests statewide.
- California's first MPA Decadal Management Review, released by CDFW in January 2023 with the Ocean Protection Council, drew on long-term monitoring across multiple habitats.
- The review produced seven technical reports and one synthesis report, with the synthesis led by an outside group, NCEAS, for independent perspective.
- A UCLA-led study in the Journal of Applied Ecology used satellite imagery from 1984 to 2022 and found kelp inside MPAs recovered better after the heatwave than matched unprotected sites, most clearly in Southern California.
- The likely mechanism is a trophic cascade: protected sheephead and spiny lobster keep urchin populations from exploding into kelp-eating barrens.
- CDFW's recommendations are organized around MPA governance, the MPA management program, and overall network performance.
- The network covers 16% of state waters across 124 MPAs, and the Ocean Protection Council is treating it as a foundation for California's 30x30 goal.
- Regular, checkable assessments show where protection is working and make the case for expanding it.
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In 2014, two years after California
finished building its statewide network of
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marine protected areas, the Pacific Ocean
did something almost nobody expected.
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A marine heatwave named The Blob hit the
coast, and it didn't let go for two years.
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Kelp forests up and down the
state started collapsing.
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So the real test is how do these kelp
forests in this new marine protected
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area recover after the heat wave?
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This is what we're gonna be
discussing on this episode of the
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How to Protect the Ocean podcast.
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I'm your host, Andrew Lewin, and
I'm a marine biologist and ocean
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communications manager for a,
company called Pisces Oceans.
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It's a consulting firm that helps
ocean projects succeed and have
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a greater impact on the ocean.
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Today we're gonna be talking about what
happened after the California Marine
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Protected Area Network went into place.
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Yesterday's episode was all about the
history of how it came into place.
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Then we're gonna talk about something
major that happened was the fact that
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a heat wave hit two years after it was
designated and all hell broke loose.
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And we're looking at how a network of
marine protected areas could recover
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after a heat wave or was it just the
fact that these were paper parks and
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nobody was actually managing them?
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So we're gonna talk about that and
what happened 'cause, uh, the thing
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is, like after one of these heat
waves hit, like the blob, one of
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the major heat waves that happened
during an El Niño and so many things
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happened that were bad, can it recover?
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Is that the idea?
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I mean, that's what a
marine protected area does.
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It takes away the human aspect of it,
the human disturbance, all the extractive
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processes that can happen, fishing,
mining, even some places where you can't
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do any kind of recreational activities
in these marine protected areas to make
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sure that these areas were gonna be fine
so that it could recover faster when
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these things happen with climate change.
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So we're gonna dive into
actually what happened.
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So two years after this marine protected
area was put together, this network, 2012.
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Two years later, between 2014 and 2016,
a marine heatwave and compounding El
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Niño conditions hit two years after
the network finished, and kelp forests
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statewide went into a large-scale
decline, the exact habitat that the
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original law was supposed to prioritize.
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Not only did that happen, but we saw sea
stars go through probably the one of the
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worst cases of, death in that we've seen.
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Like, just the decrease
that happened was unreal.
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They had sea star wasting disease,
which was like a disease that came on
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because of the heatwave, and we just
saw sea stars disintegrate right in
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front of us, and there was nothing we
could do about it until that bacteria or
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whatever it was that caused it went away.
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And now sea stars are a little on the
recovery, but still, it went through,
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like, something that was pretty dire.
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A lot of us thought that sea stars
would never be the same again.
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And the same thing with kelp.
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When we saw the heatwave happen, kelp
can't handle that much heat in that type
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of range, and so they started dying off.
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So the big thing is, is like
we couldn't do anything about
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the heatwave at that time.
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We can't just stop it in the
middle of what was happening.
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So we said, "Hey, how do we recover from
this? How do we make sure that these
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kelp forests continue to thrive after
this? Can they rebuild after this?" The
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problem really comes down to the question
of can the kelp habitats that produce
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and house a huge biodiverse, uh, system,
can they recover after the heat wave?
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And the only way to know that is really
to go into how management was done
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and how they looked at science data
to ensure that, you know, the kelp was
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actually recovering and not just hope
for the best after a 10-year review.
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So that check happened, for the first
time as a decadal management review,
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and it was led by the Department of Fish
and Wildlife for the Ocean Protection
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Council, drawing on long-term monitoring
across multiple habitat types, so kelp
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forests, rocky reefs, mid-depth rocky
reefs, sandy beaches and surf zone, deep
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habitats, and rocky intertidal zones.
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Twenty-four universities,
agencies, and research institutions
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contributed data to this program.
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The results came out as seven
separate technical reports, plus
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a synthesis report from an outside
research group, the National Center
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of Ecological Analysis and Synthesis,
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Specifically so the state wasn't
just grading its own work.
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So it wasn't as if the state went out
and collected all the data, did the
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reports, and everything like that.
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It was like they had a third party
look it over to make sure that
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the assessment was done properly.
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So after the heat wave happened,
looking at these types of reports
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and looking at this data was gonna be
really important to make sure that the
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kelp could recover or that we could
analyze whether the kelp recovered.
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Now, a peer review study out of UCLA
published in the Journal of Applied
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Ecology used nearly forty years of
satellite imagery from 1984 to 2022
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to compare kelp recovery inside
protected areas against similar
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unprotected stretches of coastline.
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The findings of that study found
that the kelp forests inside the
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MPAs recovered measurably faster
after the 2014 and 2016 heat wave
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than kelp outside of the protected
areas, with the clearest benefits
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showing up in Southern California.
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The proposed mechanism is
pretty straightforward.
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MPAs protect species like California spiny
lobster, sheephead, and other predators
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that kept kelp-eating urchins in check.
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With those predators intact, urchin
populations don't explode into the
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barren-forming outbreaks that can
wipe out a recovering kelp bed.
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That was the data.
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That's what they found, was the fact
that the predators like the sheephead,
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spiny lobster, were able to stay there,
even though the sea stars that were
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wiped out from the sea star wasting
disease during the heat wave were
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not there to account for a lot of the
predatory acts against sea urchins.
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So the kelp forests had the ability to
recover, whereas in outside the marine
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protected areas, those predators were gone
'cause they were able to be fished out,
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and so the population wasn't as strong.
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Now, hopefully in twenty years from
now or another ten years from now, we
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start seeing a spillover effect of the
predators inside the marine protected
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areas like sheephead, fish, as well as
the spiny lobster, to go outside of those
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boundaries and protect those areas and
start feasting on those sea urchins.
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So that is a big study to show what we
needed to know, was the fact that inside
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a marine protected area, the predators
of these sea urchins are protected
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and that will grow back and recover
to make sure that any kinda thing that
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happens to the kelp, like a marine
heat wave, the recovery will be a lot
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faster if those sea urchin predators
aren't there or they're kept in check.
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And that's just nature for you.
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If we allow nature to be nature, a
lot of the times they will recover,
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with, of course, some limitations.
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But this is what happens when you
do the right thing and you are in an
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MPA that is really great to do that.
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So following that review The California
Department of Fish and Wildlife
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released a formal set of prioritized
recommendations in 2023, organized
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around three areas: MPA governance, the
state's MPA management program itself,
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and the overall network performance.
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The Ocean Protection Council is now
folding those recommendations directly
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into California's broader 30 by 30
biodiversity commitment, which is
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protecting 30% of the state's lands
and waters by 2030, which we've talked
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a lot about on this podcast, and
treating the existing MPA network,
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already 16% of state waters, as a
foundation to strengthen rather than
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just a finished project to leave alone.
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Like I talked to you, uh, yesterday and
the day before with Anupa, how the fact
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that a lot of this reporting didn't come
out as new assessments for this area.
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So this must have been an older report.
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So but there have been scientific
reports that were released.
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I just wish they were released
for a lot of the people that we
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talked about on Monday, but just
it doesn't seem to happen that way.
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So the fact is that we know that the
ten years of monitoring, seven technical
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reports, one synthesis report, nearly
four decades of satellite data in the UCLA
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study that I talked about, sixteen percent
of state waters are currently protected.
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We know that this is working, and this
is a great foundation to build on and
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maybe expand some MPAs, maybe look at
areas where climate change can't have
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that much of an effect, and we can start
prioritizing those areas to be protected.
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And this is a chance to look at the
effectiveness of the MPAs and see where
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we can put either more or expand some
just to make sure that we're protecting
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more of the state waters because
that's an important aspect, right?
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The same review process is gonna
happen in another ten years.
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Hopefully, they start doing it in smaller
chunks because I think that's really
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important to do it in smaller chunks.
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But the fact is that this is
the way the system is set up.
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I would prefer, every five years at
minimum to do this type of study, uh,
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and I think that's important to have.
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But the thing is, is that this
MPA system, this network, produces
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those checkable, assessments to make
sure that things are going well.
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This is not to say that California
failed or passed or anything.
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These assessments are not for that.
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These are assessments to make sure
that if anything has changed, like a
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marine heatwave, we can see how things
are recovering and how they work.
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In fact, it's a way to say, "Hey,
you know what? This works so well
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that kelp recovered inside the MPAs
instead of outside the MPAs, so we
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should start expanding more." It's
a case to have more because we need
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more kelp forests to be protected.
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That's the show for today.
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it's pretty quick and easy, show.
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It's what we, It's what we do here.
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We kind of bring you the information
because I don't want people to think,
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"Oh, here's a marine protected area.
It's not effective." You know, because we
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don't really hear about what works when
we hear in the press, and this works.
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So I want you guys to hear it
here first before you go off and
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be like, "Hey, you know what?
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Like I don't think this is
actually working." If you know
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it works that becomes a big
benefit for us, in the future.
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Now, uh, Thursday's episode, uh,
we're gonna shift, uh, from, hey,
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does this work, does this MPA work,
to how do people get heard about
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what is happening next, right?
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Or what happens next.
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And so that's really a callback
to, you know, the Monday's episode
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with Anupa, where we looked at, how
this process didn't really allow
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everybody to be heard, and I think
that's really important, to discuss.
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and that's a good thing because we
need to make sure that that process
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is better, when we go forward.
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So this is something that's
really important to me.
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I hope it's important to you.
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That's the episode for today, so thank you
so much for joining me on today's episode
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of the How to Protect the Ocean podcast.
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I am your host, Andrew Lewin.
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Have a great day.
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We'll talk to you next time,
and happy conservation.
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